Quarterly Insights on Strategy and Market Dynamics
Recent Issues
Prospects for the 2020 iron ore market: How Europe should prepare
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Spotlight on the iron ore and steel industries
New Market Entrants in Oligopolies: What Incumbents Can Do
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Spotlight on the Basic Materials, Chemicals, and Health Care Industries
New market entries are a fact of life. Multinationals invest huge sums to expand to new markets, small firms grow and turn into serious competitors; start-ups attack established incumbents. The resulting changes in competitive dynamics often have lasting effects on the entire industry. And every single market follows different rules: lots of good reasons why incumbents should think carefully about what the most promising response to new entries will be. Three case examples illustrate this point.
Drug Discount Contracts in Germany: Will We Be Facing a Claim Game?
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Spotlight on the Pharmaceuticals Industry
Recent years have seen several health reforms in Germany. Faced with exploding health care costs, government is attempting to reduce public expenditure and promote price competition among suppliers and providers. Among other things, health insurance companies are now entitled to directly negotiate discount contracts with Pharmaceutical manufacturers – which will clearly redefine the rules of the game in the market for prescription medicines. But what will be the outcome? Where is the pharmaceuticals industry heading in the longer run? Is a major price decline inevitable, as some experts claim? We have our doubts.
Collapsing Demand: Can a Price War Be Avoided?
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Spotlight on the Potash Industry
No other industry has been on such a rollercoaster ride. In 2008, potash prices sky-rocketed – and continued their upward surge even when demand started sagging -, in 2009 they took a deep fall as demand collapsed. Admittedly, this is an extreme example. But it is just one of many instances where the global crisis caused a drop in demand. Price wars loom everywhere, and they threaten to affect the long-term profitability of entire industries, in particular those with oligopoly structures. What are the factors driving market dynamics in such situations – and how can the downward spiral be avoided?